This study critically assessed the available energy resources and their relevant to socioeconomic development and probable energy demand in nigeria. Pdf forecasting of electrical energy demand in nigeria. This rest of study is organized into five sections beginning with section two which is an overview of energy resources in. Energy information administration of the outlook for international energy markets through 2050. Mar, 2014 energy demand ktoe scenario 1 scenario 2 scenario 3 scenario 4 scenario 5 2014 121917 119974 106839 120637 107429 2017 147009 142360 112896 143938 114147 2020 169162 161851 117662 164323 119458 the conclusion reached is that as nigeria experiences greater technical efficiencies, increases in the gdp and transits from agriculture to. Borno state woodfuel supply and energy demand assessment.
In this paper, available data on the various renewable energy sources in nigeria will be analyzed to determine the best mix of energy source integration on energy. Nigeria is one of the countries that rely heavily on fossil fuel, especially oil and gas to meet its energy needs. Moreover, there is need to integrate this energy resource into the nigeria energy system in view of its numerous gains. Modelling energy consumption energy modelling involves understanding the energy world or process in a simpler way. Building energy efficiency guideline for nigeria published by. Chart data can be accessed by rightclicking the chart in the ppt file. The model is implemented in matlab platform with a plot in residential. A study on energy demand and consumption in covenant. Energy sector overview nigeria is the largest economy in subsaharan africa, but limitations in the power sector constrain growth. In modelling the nigeria s energy case, four economic scenarios. Nigeria is endowed with oil and natural resources but the country cannot be said to have ever had adequate supply of electricity in the history of its electricity generation. The total production of all electric energy producing facilities is 29 bn kwh, also 119% of own requirements. This report on the nigerian energy sector was compiled as.
While accompanied by greater prosperity, rising demand creates new challenges. The history of electricity in nigeria dates back to 1896 when electricity was first. The international energy outlook presents an assessment by the u. Energy balances for nigeria in 2012 ktoe table 3 3. Three out of the four above resources used for energy production in nigeria are linked with increasing greenhouse gas emissions. For the 10 countries of southern africa, energy used in agriculture accounts for only 5 percent of total energy consumption. Annual per capita power consumption in selected african countries kwh, 2015.
This might get worse, as the countrys population increases and economic development is calling for more demand of energy. This research work focuses on nigeria electricity demand forecast from 20 2030 towards vision 2025 using time series analysis on past load demand. The country also remains the largest gas consumer and producer of west africa. It gives me a great pleasure to introduce the 2018 south african energy sector report. The project involves the use of the following iaea energy modelling tools. This makes it the most important energy sector of the nigerian economy. Coal was the first energy resource to be exploited in nigeria.
Presidential task force on power estimated electricity demand as 12,800mw, with the. Global demand for energy is increasing rapidly, because of population and economic growth, especially in emerging market economies. Energy information administration eia estimates that in 20 total primary energy consumption in nigeria was about 4. Pdf analysis of nigerias national electricity demand. Oilrich nigeria turns to renewable energy as population. The main intent of modelling is to help explain or predict some of the events in the energy world. The paper updates in time and methodology those studies. The projected energy demand for the building and construction sector accounted for 11. Rome, food and agriculture organization of the united nations fao, geneve, united nations high commissioner for refugees unhcr and rome, world food programme wfp. Smallscale solutions, such as renewable home systems, are tempting, but insufficient to meet the countrys needs. Nigeria is the largest economy in subsaharan africa, but limitations in the power sector constrain growth. Third is the fact that understanding energy demand dynamic through improve and robust estimates of energy demand parameters is essential for more informed and successful energy policy decision making and implementation. However the use of these fuel sources has been largely skewed in favour of hydro power and crude oil, leaving the other sources either untouched or.
The analysis includes a comprehensive energy market report and updated nigeria energy market data. This report is based on information collated from energy industry and research papers. K ezugwu abstractthis study focuses on nigeria energy resources and its consumption. Currently, nigeria generates a small amount of energy from renewable sources such as hydro power, solar, wind and biomass. The united states should partner with nigeria to help it build a high energy grid system to power its factories and cities and to sustain a growing economy.
Nigeria is endowed with large oil, gas, hydro and solar resource, and it already has the potential to generate 12,522 megawatts mw of electric power from existing plants, but most days is only able to generate around 4,000 mw, which is insufficient. This research work focuses on nigeria electricity demand forecast from 202030 towards vision 2025 using time series analysis on past load demand. The empirical results reveal that petroleum, electricity and the aggregate energy consumptionhave significant and positive relationship with economic growth in. Model for the analysis of energy demand maed model for the energy supply strategy alternatives and their general environmental impact message. To meet the economic aspirations of its booming, youthful population, nigeria needs to solve its energy crisis. The coordination of the national policies on energy in all its ramification rests on the energy commission of nigeria, established by law in 1979. Study of nigeria energy resources and its consumption. Energy use in nigeria nigeria has a broad base and abundance of fuel sources. The model is implemented in matlab platform with a plot in residential load demand, commercial load demand and industrial load demand in mw. Federal ministry of power, works and housing housing shehu yaradua way, mabushi abuja, nigeria. Energy demand management and integration of sustainable.
Notable power sector reforms are underway in nigeria, including plans for electrifi. Woodfuel supply and energy demand assessment for borno state, nigeria 202018. Nigeria has uranium deposits, but no details were given since their discovery in 2005. Section 7 provided the way forward with the concluding remarks covered in section 8.
A major challenge is how to supply the energy in a sustainable manner. The electricity demand in nigeria far outstrips the supply and the supply is epileptic in nature. Energy demand and economic growth in nigeria semantic scholar. A road map for renewable energy to help achieve this vision. Pdf analysis of nigerias national electricity demand forecast. The nigeria energy policy report estimated that less than 40.
Pdf energy consumption and nigerian economic growth. Energy is considered as the most important resources of any country. In 2005, the energy commission of nigeria developed the renewable energy master plan remp, which suggests ideas for renewable energy policies, as well as possible technologies that can be used to fulfill their goals. Estimating the renewable energy potential in africa 7 executive summary this report presents an approach to quantify the power generation potentials for solar and wind energy resources in africa, as well as an estimation of the bioenergy potential from selected firstgeneration biofuel crops. Per capita household energy consumption by energy type in 1994 source. Nigeria currently has the capacity to produce an estimated 7,000 megawatts mw of power, but due to weak infrastructure, gas supply problems and. Nigeria primary energy demand and gdp in the stated policies scenario, 2010 2040. Rahmatallah poudineh and tade oyewunmi argue that domestic gastopower projects can contribute significantly to universal energy access as well as to the security and sustainability of energy supply in tanzania and nigeria, but these. Nigeria hit historical highs for both peak generation 4,811mw peak generation on august 25 and total energy generated across the system 4,2mwhh energy generated on august 5. Energy is critical to the survival and expansion of any economy, but in nigeria, energy consumption has been skewed towards household use, and below thresholds for sector driven growth.
In nigeria, energy distribution and consumption over the years have been an issue of great worries and concerns to the extent that economic development has been affected partly by the epileptic. In nigeria, the largest country in west africa, it has been estimated that 96 million people 55 % of the population do not have access to. Currently nigeria uses four different types of energy. This article investigates the relationship between energy consumption and the nigerian. Nigeria energy market report energy market research in. The rest of the selfproduced energy is either exported into other countries or unused. The objective of this paper is to estimate petroleum products demand in nigeria using random trend approach. General environmental impacts, message user manual. The nigerian energy supply crisis refers to the ongoing failure of the nigerian power sector to provide adequate electricity supply to domestic households and industrial producers despite a rapidly growing economy, some of the worlds largest deposits of coal, oil and gas and the countrys status as africas largest oil producer.
It can be said that the energy demand of nigeria will be approximately 2. Nigeria can provide itself completely with selfproduced energy. Nigeria has africas largest population and economy, but nigerians consume 144 kwh per capita annually, only 3. Electrification rates in nigeria and subsaharan africa table 3 6. The energy information association eia 2007 is of the view that coal is not part of the countrys energy consumption mix. Nigeria is endowed with large oil, gas, hydro and solar resource, and it already has the potential to generate 12,522 megawatts mw of electric power from existing plants, but most days is only able to generate around. Energy security concerns can emerge as more consumers require ever more energy resources. Energy demand modelling, building and construction sector.
Analysisofnigeriasnationalelectricitydemandforecast202030 ijstr. The breakdown helps in the identification of the social, economic and technical factors influencing each category of final energy demand. Study of nigeria energy resources and its consumption engr c. Renewable energy penetration in nigeria is still in its nascent stage, the only source of renewable energy in the country is hydropower and biomass. Consequently, the energy consumption of sadc shown in fig 4 provides, under the circumstances, some useful insights on the major energy demand sectors of africa see appendix iii for detailed data. Exploiting renewable energy in quantities and at prices that will. Nigeria is heavily endowed with 22 mines of coal resources which have a total proven capacity of 2 billion tonnes. It has been observed that in cameroon, the exploitation and use of energy has taken on a new dimension that can be explained by the growing. In nigeria, electricity access rate was nearly 60% in 2015 according to the world bank, with 86% of urban areas and 41% of rural areas with access, while access to nonsolid fuels reached only 4%. Energy demand forecasting is an essential component for energy planning, formulating strategies and recommending energy policies. This paper presents long term electric power load forecasting for twenty years 20 years projection, in nigeria power system using modified form of exponential regression model.
To analysis and predict the energy power demand mw requirement for a projection. The findings of the study conclude that energy consumption has a significant correlation with economic growth in nigeria. Renewable energy track a study on energy demand and consumption in covenant university, ota, nigeria oyedepo, s. Electrifying africa oxford institute for energy studies. Although there are a number of approaches to modelling energy demand. Transmission losses fell by 10% june to august 15th 2015 compared to the first four months of the year. A quantified assessment of energy demand in a developing nation in the year 2022 a nigerian perspective onuke oscar sunny abstract. Distribution of households with access to electricity by type of electricity. Nigeria energy market report energy market research in nigeria.
Electricity generation and the present challenges in the. Estimating the renewable energy potential in africa. In modelling the nigerias energy case, four economic scenarios. Nigeria has set a target of expanding electricity access to 75 percent of the. Major renewable energy applications in nigeria are in the areas of. Analysisofnigeriasnationalelectricity demand forecast202030 ijstr. Nigeria is the largest economy and the richest oil resource centre of the african continent. However, around 70% of global energy supply today is from fossil fuels which in turn contributes significantly to climate change. Assessment of nigeria power subsector and electricity. Load forecasting of electrical energy demand in nigeria.
The role of energy in development can not be overemphasized. Created in 1979 by an act, it commenced its operations in 1989 following the decision of economic community of west african states ecowas that each member state should create a body called energy commission of nigeria ecn with the main responsibility to coordinate and supervise all energy functions. An economy that gradually move from a monolithic fossil economy to one driven by an increasing share of renewable energy in the national energy mix. International conference on african development issues cuicadi 2015. As per the tables below data from 2014 shows that the residential sector is the largest consumer at over 50%. Matching electricity supply with demand in nigeria international.
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